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Relationship between Spot, Forward and Par Rates

We will cover following topics

Introduction

Understanding the interplay between different interest rates is crucial in financial markets. Spot rates, forward rates, and par rates are fundamental components in the pricing and valuation of fixed-income securities. In this chapter, we will explore the intricate relationships between these rates, shedding light on how they influence bond markets and financial decision-making.


Spot Rates $(r_s)$

Spot rates, often referred to as zero-coupon rates, represent the interest rates applicable to a specific period, usually up to one year. They are the rates at which funds can be invested or borrowed for the corresponding time period. The relationship between spot rates and time to maturity (T) is as follows:

$$r_s(T)=\frac{F V}{P V}-1$$

Where:

  • $r_s(T)$ is the spot rate for time period $\mathrm{T}$.
  • $F V$ is the future value of the investment.
  • $P V$ is the present value of the investment.

Forward Rates ($f(T_1, T_2)$)

Forward rates, denoted as $f(T_1, T_2)$, represent the interest rate applicable to a future period ($T_2$) as of today ($T_1$). These rates provide insights into market expectations regarding future interest rates. The formula for calculating a forward rate is:

$$f(T_1, T_2)=\left(\frac{\left(1+r_s(T_2)\right)^{T_2}}{\left(1+r_s(T_1)\right)^{T_1}}\right)^{\frac{1}{(T_2-T_1)}}-1$$

Where:

  • $f(T_1, T_2)$ is the forward rate between times $T_1$ and $T_2$
  • $r_s(T_1)$ and $r_s(T2)$ are spot rates for times $T_1$ and $T_2$
  • $T_1$ and $T_2$ represent the respective time periods

Par Rates $(r_{par})$

The par rate, also known as the coupon rate, is the interest rate at which the present value of a bond’s cash flows equals its face value. Par rates are used to determine the coupon payment on fixed-income securities. The formula for the par rate is:

$$PV=\sum_{t=1}^n \frac{C}{\left(1+r_{p a r}\right)^t}+\frac{F}{\left(1+r_{p a r}\right)^n}=F$$ Where:

  • $P V$ is the present value of the bond’s cash flows
  • $C$ is the coupon payment
  • $r_{par}$ is the par rate
  • $F$ is the face value of the bond
  • $n$ is the number of periods

Interpreting the Relationships

  • Spot rates serve as building blocks for determining the prices and yields of bonds with various maturities.

  • Forward rates provide insights into expected future interest rate movements and can be useful for interest rate risk management.

  • Par rates are used as benchmark rates, especially in pricing fixed-rate bonds. They represent the rates that make the bond’s cash flows equal to its face value.


Conclusion

Understanding the relationships between spot, forward, and par rates is fundamental in fixed-income markets. These rates play pivotal roles in bond pricing, risk assessment, and investment decisions. By interpreting these relationships, financial professionals can make informed choices in managing interest rate risk and optimizing their investment portfolios.


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